On 8 November 2016, India took the dramatic and unprecedented step of demonetising its high denomination Rs 500 and Rs 1000 currency notes in an effort to ‘fight black money, eliminate counterfeit notes and stop terror funding’. The decision has prompted fierce and widespread debate. While proponents and opponents have argued on specific aspects of the policy, a holistic view has been absent from the debate.
This timely book takes a close look at the various facets of the demonetisation story. What was the rationale for Demonetisation 2016? Can it stamp out black money as promised? Were there other options, which would have avoided causing immense grief to countless Indians? What next after demonetisation? The book also explores the drive to digitalisation of payments which post-demonetisation has emerged as an important point on the agenda of the government.
This book has been written for every Indian—from the policymaker who would like to understand the lessons to be learnt from this exercise, to the scholar who wishes to understand the whys and whereof, to the citizen, who, bewildered by the turn of events, wants to know if the inconvenience that Demonetisation 2016 has caused will help the nation in any way.
C. Rammanohar Reddy is an economist who has been writing on economic policy since the late 1980s. He was Editor of the prestigious Economic and Political Weekly between 2004 and 2016. He is now Readers’ Editor, Scroll.in.
List of Tables List of Abbreviations Foreword by Y. V. Reddy Preface Acknowledgements Demonetisation 2016: An Unfolding Story Section I — one — Black Money and the Black Economy — two — Size of the Black Economy in India — three — Size of the Shadow Economy in the World — four — Indian and Global Experiences with Demonetisation Section II — five — Action on Black Money — six — Demonetisation 2016: Context and Options Appendix: Estimate of Counterfeit Currency — seven —
Demonetisation 2016: Design and Implementation Appendix: Growth of High Denomination Notes — eight — Promotion of a ‘Less-Cash’ Economy Section III — nine — Distress and Despair — ten — Black Money and Politics Section IV — eleven — Cash, Money and Liquidity — twelve — Impact on the Banking System
— thirteen — Impact on the Reserve Bank of India Appendix: On the RBI — fourteen — Demonetisation, Black Money and Gold What Next? Bibliography Annexures
I. Speech of the Prime Minister, 8 November 2016 II. Gazette Notification on Demonetisation III. Speech of Dr. Manmohan Singh in the Rajya Sabha IV. Extract from 2012 White Paper
Index